MAE and MFE Explained: Are You Leaving Money on the Table?

By Mohamed Amine Sououdi, Founder · 5 min read

MAE (maximum adverse excursion) is how far a trade moved against you before it resolved. MFE (maximum favourable excursion) is how far it moved in your favour. Together they reveal whether your stops and targets are placed well — something win rate and profit factor cannot show.

What MAE tells you

If your winners rarely dipped far into the red before working, your stops may be far wider than they need to be — you are risking more than necessary. If winners routinely nearly hit your stop first, your stops are about right. MAE is how you right-size risk.

What MFE tells you

If trades regularly ran far past your target before you got out, you are leaving money on the table — your targets are too close, or you are cutting winners early. MFE quantifies the profit you are giving away.

Turning it into changes

Together, MAE and MFE tell you concretely whether to tighten stops, widen targets, or trail rather than fix a target. It is one of the few analyses that translates directly into a rule change with a measurable payoff.

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